Category: Philosophy

  • This Is the Mathematical Formula to Win Any Game

    This Is the Mathematical Formula to Win Any Game

    There is a very simple equation in probability theory: It looks like textbook math. It is actually a model of how progress works. Let’s unpack it. Define two variables. p = probability of success in a single attemptn = number of attempts The expression – computes the probability that you succeed at least once after n attempts. The term ((1-p)^n) is…

  • AI is No Longer a Moat

    AI is No Longer a Moat

    First principles – Value lies in outcomes, not in methods. When user are buying a product, they are buying the results – not the technology. Users don’t buy AI, they buy saved time, reduced friction, higher revenue, lower costs, fewer headaches, etc. Methods matters only to us, builders. Outcomes, matters to the real users. If…